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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.93+2.21vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.04vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.04vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California2.33+0.32vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+0.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09+2.70vs Predicted
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7Santa Barbara City College2.17-2.33vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.53-1.96vs Predicted
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9University of Hawaii2.28-4.50vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine1.06-3.06vs Predicted
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11University of California at Los Angeles0.61-3.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.21Stanford University2.930.2%1st Place
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6.04University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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3.04University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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4.32University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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5.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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8.7University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
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4.67Santa Barbara City College2.170.1%1st Place
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6.04University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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4.5University of Hawaii2.280.1%1st Place
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6.94University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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7.79University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reinier Eenkema Van Dijk | 24.6% | 20.6% | 15.3% | 14.0% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 25.0% | 21.5% | 17.4% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 11.1% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 14.5% | 15.7% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 13.9% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 17.7% | 54.3% | 0.0% |
| Dane Wilson | 8.9% | 11.0% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 14.1% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Wilkinson | 10.4% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 14.7% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 23.0% | 9.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.3% | 26.7% | 24.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.