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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.01vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.01vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15-0.09vs Predicted
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4University of Hawaii2.14+0.75vs Predicted
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5Santa Barbara City College2.17-0.34vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley1.53+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California2.33-2.71vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.61-0.16vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.06-2.11vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-4.15vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.3%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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2.91Stanford University3.150.3%1st Place
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4.75University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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4.66Santa Barbara City College2.170.1%1st Place
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6.01University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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4.29University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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7.84University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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5.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristopher Swanson | 25.9% | 22.8% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 25.8% | 23.0% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 7.8% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 13.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Dane Wilson | 10.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 12.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 6.3% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 17.4% | 14.8% | 12.4% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 12.9% | 11.8% | 14.6% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 6.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 9.8% | 17.5% | 27.8% | 23.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 19.2% | 21.5% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 14.1% | 15.7% | 14.5% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 10.1% | 17.6% | 54.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.