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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+3.88vs Predicted
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2University of Southern California0.90+4.69vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University1.47+2.57vs Predicted
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4California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+4.85vs Predicted
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5California State University Channel Islands0.82+3.16vs Predicted
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6California Poly Maritime Academy0.88+1.99vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.31+2.92vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+1.15vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.49+1.24vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara0.25+0.65vs Predicted
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11San Diego State University0.53-0.72vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Cruz0.91-3.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at Davis0.07-2.85vs Predicted
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14University of Southern California0.20-3.01vs Predicted
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15University of California at Irvine-0.36+1.03vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-0.70-0.70vs Predicted
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17University of California at San Diego-1.11-0.50vs Predicted
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18University of California at Los Angeles-1.09-1.18vs Predicted
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19California State University Channel Islands-1.54-1.07vs Predicted
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20Arizona State University-0.41-5.28vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-5.12vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-4.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.88University of Southern California1.4016.2%1st Place
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6.69University of Southern California0.909.5%1st Place
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5.57San Diego State University1.4713.0%1st Place
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8.85California Poly Maritime Academy0.534.8%1st Place
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8.16California State University Channel Islands0.827.0%1st Place
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7.99California Poly Maritime Academy0.885.9%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Berkeley0.314.7%1st Place
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9.15Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.355.4%1st Place
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10.24University of California at Irvine0.494.4%1st Place
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10.65University of California at Santa Barbara0.253.8%1st Place
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10.28San Diego State University0.534.2%1st Place
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8.52University of California at Santa Cruz0.915.2%1st Place
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10.15University of California at Davis0.074.5%1st Place
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10.99University of Southern California0.203.1%1st Place
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16.03University of California at Irvine-0.360.9%1st Place
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15.3University of California at San Diego-0.701.2%1st Place
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16.5University of California at San Diego-1.110.9%1st Place
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16.82University of California at Los Angeles-1.091.1%1st Place
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17.93California State University Channel Islands-1.540.5%1st Place
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14.72Arizona State University-0.411.7%1st Place
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15.88University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.4%1st Place
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17.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.490.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 16.2% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Morgana Manti | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sterling Maggard | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Owen Cuyler | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Arin Bekem | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| JT Long | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Colin Olson | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Jackson McKinley | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.9% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 14.1% | 10.4% |
| Liam Williams | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 13.1% | 15.8% |
| Brent Lin | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 23.4% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 4.5% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 7.8% |
| Griffin Vernon | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.7% | 22.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.