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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+1.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.01vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.14+1.85vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California2.33-0.70vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.61+1.69vs Predicted
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7University of California at Irvine1.06+0.01vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley1.53-1.98vs Predicted
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9Santa Barbara City College2.17-4.39vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-4.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Stanford University3.150.3%1st Place
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3.01University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.3%1st Place
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4.85University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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4.3University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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7.69University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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7.01University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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6.02University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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4.61Santa Barbara City College2.170.1%1st Place
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5.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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8.82University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Marshall | 27.4% | 24.7% | 16.6% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 26.0% | 20.1% | 19.6% | 13.3% | 10.2% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.4% | 13.6% | 14.0% | 16.0% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 11.7% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 14.4% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 26.8% | 23.1% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 20.2% | 18.8% | 11.9% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 3.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 13.2% | 3.6% | 0.0% |
| Dane Wilson | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 13.4% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 3.5% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 9.7% | 18.6% | 55.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.