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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.14+3.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley1.53+4.08vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+0.08vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.15-1.13vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+0.81vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+0.89vs Predicted
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7Santa Barbara City College2.17-2.34vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.33-3.64vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley1.53-2.92vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.24vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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3.08University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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2.87Stanford University3.150.3%1st Place
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5.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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4.66Santa Barbara City College2.170.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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6.08University of California at Berkeley1.530.1%1st Place
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7.76University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pacholski | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 24.3% | 20.0% | 18.5% | 15.7% | 10.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 26.9% | 21.8% | 19.6% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 12.0% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 21.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Dane Wilson | 9.3% | 11.1% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 10.7% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.5% | 13.5% | 13.5% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 17.2% | 13.1% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 18.1% | 27.5% | 21.9% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 16.6% | 56.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.