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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.14+3.70vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+1.03vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.15-0.07vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.06vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+0.81vs Predicted
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6Santa Barbara City College2.17-1.37vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.53-0.94vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.33-3.63vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine1.06-2.09vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.7University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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3.03University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.3%1st Place
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2.93Stanford University3.150.3%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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5.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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4.63Santa Barbara City College2.170.1%1st Place
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6.06University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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4.37University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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7.78University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Pacholski | 10.0% | 12.0% | 12.0% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 13.0% | 12.6% | 9.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 25.2% | 21.7% | 17.3% | 14.5% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Marshall | 26.0% | 22.7% | 18.0% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 10.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| Dane Wilson | 11.8% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 14.3% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 9.6% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 13.8% | 14.5% | 13.8% | 10.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 3.4% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 13.5% | 18.3% | 21.8% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 15.5% | 27.1% | 23.4% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 55.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.