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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+1.83vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.14+2.78vs Predicted
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3Santa Barbara City College2.17+1.78vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley1.53+2.00vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-2.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine1.06+0.90vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley1.53-1.00vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California2.33-3.67vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-3.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.61-2.22vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz-0.09-2.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Stanford University3.150.3%1st Place
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4.78University of Hawaii2.140.1%1st Place
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4.78Santa Barbara City College2.170.1%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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2.99University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.2%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Irvine1.060.0%1st Place
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6.0University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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4.33University of Southern California2.330.1%1st Place
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5.82Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.1%1st Place
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7.78University of California at Los Angeles0.610.0%1st Place
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8.78University of California at Santa Cruz-0.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Marshall | 30.8% | 22.2% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 9.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Michael Pacholski | 9.1% | 9.7% | 14.3% | 13.0% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Dane Wilson | 9.3% | 11.0% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 14.5% | 15.2% | 13.0% | 8.9% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 24.4% | 22.8% | 19.7% | 13.4% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian MacLean | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 19.4% | 20.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Solomon | 4.5% | 5.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| Peter Wong | 9.8% | 14.2% | 14.3% | 15.6% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 4.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Lenz Lenz | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 16.5% | 29.2% | 22.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Weiswasser | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 17.5% | 55.9% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.