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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.17+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+0.13vs Predicted
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4Santa Barbara City College2.29+0.23vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.79vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.72-0.74vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.92-0.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.11vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.27-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.99vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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3.15University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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3.13University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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4.23Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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5.26University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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7.94University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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6.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 29.8% | 23.7% | 17.1% | 13.9% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 20.9% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 6.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 22.1% | 19.7% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 9.8% | 13.8% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 8.0% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 14.8% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 9.5% | 13.0% | 17.7% | 16.9% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 20.9% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.4% | 21.1% | 33.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.