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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+4.22vs Predicted
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2Santa Barbara City College2.29+2.25vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17-0.21vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.92-1.88vs Predicted
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6University of California at Los Angeles0.92+0.80vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+1.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.18vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.92-2.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Irvine0.27-2.01vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-4.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.22University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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4.25Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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2.79Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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3.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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3.12University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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6.85Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 15.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 11.7% | 10.7% | 14.9% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 25.4% | 25.9% | 17.4% | 15.8% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 22.4% | 20.8% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 10.8% | 6.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 21.8% | 20.7% | 20.9% | 14.4% | 11.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 17.7% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 32.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 15.7% | 17.5% | 16.4% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 15.6% | 22.5% | 31.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 16.5% | 17.7% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.