← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Santa Barbara City College2.29+3.19vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.17+0.79vs Predicted
-
3University of Hawaii2.92+0.15vs Predicted
-
4University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.90vs Predicted
-
5University of Southern California1.72+0.24vs Predicted
-
6University of California at Berkeley0.92+0.82vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Irvine0.27+1.06vs Predicted
-
8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.24vs Predicted
-
9University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.16vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.96vs Predicted
-
11University of California at Berkeley0.92-4.18vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.19Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
-
2.79Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
-
3.15University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
-
3.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
-
5.24University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
-
6.82University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.06University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
-
6.76Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
-
6.84University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
-
8.04University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
-
6.82University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Barton | 12.5% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 26.8% | 24.6% | 18.0% | 15.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 20.1% | 21.0% | 19.2% | 17.0% | 12.9% | 6.3% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 21.4% | 20.3% | 20.7% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 6.9% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 11.4% | 17.1% | 15.4% | 16.3% | 9.3% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 15.6% | 22.2% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 14.3% | 18.7% | 17.1% | 9.5% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 17.2% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 14.5% | 20.3% | 34.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 16.4% | 17.4% | 16.7% | 11.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.