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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+2.14vs Predicted
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2Santa Barbara City College2.29+2.25vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17-0.20vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.72+0.21vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+0.78vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.16vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.27-1.01vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.92-3.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.14University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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4.25Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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2.8Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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3.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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5.21University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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6.92University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 21.7% | 21.7% | 19.5% | 15.5% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 11.4% | 11.4% | 15.6% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 14.0% | 8.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 26.1% | 23.9% | 19.5% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 21.8% | 22.2% | 19.2% | 16.9% | 10.2% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 17.9% | 14.0% | 9.9% | 5.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 17.5% | 16.5% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 18.7% | 16.3% | 16.5% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 15.1% | 23.9% | 29.6% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.6% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 10.2% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 16.1% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 14.6% | 19.8% | 34.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.