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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.09vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+1.13vs Predicted
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3Santa Barbara City College2.29+1.24vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17-1.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.82vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.72-0.71vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.11vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.19vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.27-1.01vs Predicted
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10University of California at Berkeley0.92-3.18vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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3.13University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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4.24Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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2.73Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.89University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 22.3% | 22.1% | 18.9% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 20.4% | 22.8% | 18.7% | 15.7% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 11.4% | 11.7% | 13.5% | 16.4% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 27.4% | 23.8% | 20.6% | 13.9% | 8.3% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 13.8% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.1% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 16.5% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 18.5% | 16.6% | 10.9% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 11.9% | 14.1% | 23.1% | 30.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 18.1% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 15.6% | 19.2% | 33.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.