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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Hawaii2.92+2.10vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.08vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.17-0.21vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93+2.88vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.72+0.24vs Predicted
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6Santa Barbara City College2.29-1.83vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.92-0.07vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.07vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.16vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.99vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine0.27-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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3.08University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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2.79Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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6.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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5.24University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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4.17Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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6.93University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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6.84University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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7.97University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chuck Eaton | 23.2% | 20.5% | 19.4% | 15.9% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 21.0% | 22.0% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 26.2% | 23.9% | 19.2% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 17.3% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 7.0% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 18.1% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 5.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 16.9% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 2.7% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 16.9% | 16.7% | 17.2% | 11.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 14.3% | 19.7% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.8% | 23.4% | 30.8% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 33.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.