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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.17+1.75vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+1.15vs Predicted
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3Santa Barbara City College2.29+1.28vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Irvine0.27+1.92vs Predicted
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7Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-0.12vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.72-2.71vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.18vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.95vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.92-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.75Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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3.15University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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4.28Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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7.92University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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6.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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5.29University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.82University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 29.8% | 21.9% | 19.1% | 13.6% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 20.6% | 22.2% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 6.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 11.7% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 8.4% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 20.4% | 24.4% | 19.4% | 15.7% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 21.1% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.2% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 17.9% | 18.0% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 16.1% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.6% | 2.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 9.4% | 12.6% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 9.9% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 19.3% | 34.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 18.9% | 17.6% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.