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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+2.12vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+1.13vs Predicted
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3Santa Barbara City College2.29+1.28vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17-1.27vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.92+0.78vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.72-1.68vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.22vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.27-1.05vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-3.19vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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3.13University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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4.28Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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2.73Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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5.32University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.78University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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7.95University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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6.81Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Long | 22.3% | 21.4% | 19.1% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 20.8% | 22.1% | 18.8% | 15.6% | 12.3% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 11.7% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 19.6% | 14.3% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 26.7% | 24.9% | 20.1% | 14.6% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 16.3% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 11.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.8% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 17.7% | 16.6% | 11.3% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 30.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.1% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 14.9% | 19.1% | 15.8% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 13.8% | 21.7% | 34.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.