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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.17+1.71vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+1.16vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+0.10vs Predicted
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4University of California at Irvine0.27+4.01vs Predicted
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5University of Southern California1.72+0.25vs Predicted
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6Santa Barbara City College2.29-1.82vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.10vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-0.01vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.92-2.14vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-3.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.92-4.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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3.16University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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3.1University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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8.01University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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5.25University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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4.18Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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6.9University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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6.84Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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6.86University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 29.1% | 24.8% | 18.0% | 12.5% | 7.9% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 20.8% | 21.0% | 18.7% | 16.1% | 13.2% | 6.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 21.3% | 19.9% | 21.1% | 16.0% | 12.6% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 1.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 24.2% | 29.5% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 9.5% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 12.0% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.6% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 20.1% | 33.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 19.8% | 16.6% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.