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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.17+1.73vs Predicted
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2University of Hawaii2.92+1.15vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+0.14vs Predicted
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4Santa Barbara City College2.29+0.22vs Predicted
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5University of California at Los Angeles0.92+1.77vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.92+0.81vs Predicted
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7University of Southern California1.72-1.67vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-1.20vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.92-2.19vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.98vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine0.27-2.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.73Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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3.15University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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3.14University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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4.22Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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6.77University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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6.81University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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5.33University of Southern California1.720.0%1st Place
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6.8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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6.81University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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8.03University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 30.1% | 22.6% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 20.5% | 21.6% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 21.8% | 19.3% | 20.0% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 10.0% | 14.3% | 14.4% | 16.3% | 17.9% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 11.3% | 15.9% | 19.2% | 16.2% | 10.8% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 4.9% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 15.4% | 11.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 15.9% | 16.0% | 17.3% | 11.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 14.8% | 14.3% | 17.4% | 17.1% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 11.8% | 14.0% | 22.8% | 31.3% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 15.1% | 20.4% | 33.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.