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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.17+1.74vs Predicted
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2Santa Barbara City College2.29+2.24vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+0.15vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara2.95-0.94vs Predicted
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5University of California at Irvine0.27+2.91vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley0.92+0.79vs Predicted
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7University of California at Los Angeles0.92-0.09vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California1.72-2.69vs Predicted
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9University of California at Berkeley0.92-2.21vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.98vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-4.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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4.24Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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3.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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7.91University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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6.91University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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5.31University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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6.87Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Rosenberg | 29.6% | 22.3% | 19.0% | 13.8% | 8.7% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 11.3% | 11.8% | 15.2% | 15.7% | 16.7% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 21.2% | 19.7% | 19.4% | 17.6% | 11.6% | 6.4% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 21.2% | 22.9% | 19.5% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 21.5% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 17.0% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 16.9% | 13.4% | 10.3% | 6.3% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 16.2% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 10.7% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 16.6% | 20.9% | 31.9% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 11.6% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.