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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Santa Barbara City College2.29+3.19vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.09vs Predicted
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3University of Hawaii2.92+0.20vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17-1.29vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.92+1.80vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California1.72-0.73vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz0.26+1.11vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.92-1.21vs Predicted
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9University of California at Irvine0.27-1.01vs Predicted
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10Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.93-3.14vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley0.92-4.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.19Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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3.09University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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3.2University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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2.71Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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5.27University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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8.11University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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6.79University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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7.99University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
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6.86Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.930.0%1st Place
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6.8University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Silas Barton | 12.9% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 21.2% | 22.8% | 18.9% | 15.4% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 20.3% | 19.0% | 19.6% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 6.6% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 26.7% | 25.8% | 18.1% | 15.9% | 8.6% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Chyz | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 16.4% | 14.7% | 10.3% | 5.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 8.3% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 21.4% | 32.8% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 13.4% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 16.5% | 10.6% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 21.7% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Lausten | 2.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 13.4% | 15.8% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 11.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 17.0% | 11.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.