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📊 Prediction Accuracy
72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.72+4.28vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara2.95+1.12vs Predicted
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3Santa Barbara City College2.29+1.31vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.17-1.22vs Predicted
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5University of Hawaii2.92-1.86vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+0.38vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.92-0.02vs Predicted
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8University of California at Berkeley0.92-1.02vs Predicted
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9University of California at Los Angeles0.92-2.13vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Cruz0.26-1.92vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine0.27-2.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.28University of Southern California1.720.1%1st Place
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3.12University of California at Santa Barbara2.950.2%1st Place
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4.31Santa Barbara City College2.290.1%1st Place
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2.78Stanford University3.170.3%1st Place
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3.14University of Hawaii2.920.2%1st Place
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6.38Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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6.98University of California at Berkeley0.920.0%1st Place
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6.87University of California at Los Angeles0.920.0%1st Place
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8.08University of California at Santa Cruz0.260.0%1st Place
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8.05University of California at Irvine0.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paul Chyz | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 14.6% | 14.5% | 16.1% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Stephen Long | 21.6% | 22.0% | 18.4% | 16.9% | 10.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Silas Barton | 10.7% | 11.9% | 13.4% | 15.9% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Rosenberg | 27.1% | 23.6% | 19.7% | 13.7% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chuck Eaton | 21.1% | 20.9% | 20.3% | 16.4% | 10.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Carrick | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 14.5% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Markowitz | 1.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 12.6% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 17.6% | 12.2% | 0.0% |
| Leah Ford | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 14.9% | 19.2% | 16.4% | 11.8% | 0.0% |
| James Melvin | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 24.5% | 31.8% | 0.0% |
| Egemen Gok | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 15.6% | 19.7% | 34.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.