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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.40+3.83vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Cruz0.91+6.33vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy0.53+5.62vs Predicted
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4San Diego State University0.53+6.43vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.35+4.34vs Predicted
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6California State University Channel Islands0.82+2.07vs Predicted
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7University of California at Berkeley0.31+3.13vs Predicted
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8University of Southern California0.90-1.28vs Predicted
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9San Diego State University1.47-3.45vs Predicted
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10California Poly Maritime Academy0.88-2.16vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine0.49-0.65vs Predicted
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12University of California at Davis0.07-2.18vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-0.70+2.32vs Predicted
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14University of California at Los Angeles-1.09+2.88vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.11+1.65vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara0.25-5.43vs Predicted
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17University of California at Irvine-0.36-0.96vs Predicted
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18University of Southern California0.20-7.04vs Predicted
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19Arizona State University-0.41-4.12vs Predicted
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20California State University Channel Islands-1.54-1.95vs Predicted
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21University of California at Los Angeles-0.96-5.29vs Predicted
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22Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.49-4.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.83University of Southern California1.4015.9%1st Place
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8.33University of California at Santa Cruz0.916.8%1st Place
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8.62California Poly Maritime Academy0.535.8%1st Place
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10.43San Diego State University0.533.6%1st Place
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9.34Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.354.7%1st Place
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8.07California State University Channel Islands0.827.1%1st Place
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10.13University of California at Berkeley0.314.2%1st Place
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6.72University of Southern California0.909.4%1st Place
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5.55San Diego State University1.4712.3%1st Place
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7.84California Poly Maritime Academy0.886.5%1st Place
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10.35University of California at Irvine0.493.4%1st Place
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9.82University of California at Davis0.074.6%1st Place
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15.32University of California at San Diego-0.701.2%1st Place
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16.88University of California at Los Angeles-1.090.5%1st Place
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16.65University of California at San Diego-1.110.9%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Santa Barbara0.254.8%1st Place
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16.04University of California at Irvine-0.360.8%1st Place
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10.96University of Southern California0.203.5%1st Place
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14.88Arizona State University-0.411.3%1st Place
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18.05California State University Channel Islands-1.540.8%1st Place
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15.71University of California at Los Angeles-0.961.4%1st Place
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17.93Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.490.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Harris | 15.9% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Olson | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Jennings | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Hopkins | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Robert Bloomfield | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Maggard | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Wilton Lawton | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Morgana Manti | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Aston Smith | 12.3% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Cuyler | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arin Bekem | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Braedon Hansen | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Audra Spokas-jaros | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
| Liam Williams | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 13.8% |
| Ryan McCrystal | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 13.5% | 12.3% |
| JT Long | 4.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nikita Swatek | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 7.8% |
| Jackson McKinley | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Mitchell Powers | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 4.6% |
| Brent Lin | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 24.2% |
| Conrad Kistler | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.8% |
| Griffin Vernon | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 11.8% | 15.8% | 24.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.