← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.17vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.94vs Predicted
-
3Fordham University3.52+3.90vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Maritime College3.25+3.90vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69+1.15vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University3.50+1.08vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University3.49+0.06vs Predicted
-
8Washington College1.52+5.43vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University3.51-1.94vs Predicted
-
10Virginia Tech1.79+2.99vs Predicted
-
11Hampton University3.02-2.13vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.65vs Predicted
-
13Stevens Institute of Technology1.76+0.15vs Predicted
-
14University of Pennsylvania2.80-4.29vs Predicted
-
15Cornell University2.77-5.37vs Predicted
-
16Virginia Tech1.79-3.01vs Predicted
-
17Christopher Newport University2.21-5.25vs Predicted
-
18Queen's University1.85-5.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.17U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
4.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.9Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
-
7.9SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
-
6.15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
-
7.08Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
7.06George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
13.43Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
-
7.06Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
12.99Virginia Tech1.790.0%1st Place
-
8.87Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
-
7.35U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
13.15Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
-
9.71University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
-
9.63Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
12.99Virginia Tech1.790.0%1st Place
-
11.75Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
-
12.86Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Snow | 10.1% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.5% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 10.4% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 27.7% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 1.4% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 10.7% | 13.9% | 17.5% | 20.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 18.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 11.4% | 13.1% | 8.2% | 0.0% |
| Matti Muru | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 15.9% | 18.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.