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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.81+4.71vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.49+4.89vs Predicted
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3Hampton University3.02+5.65vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+2.96vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.80+4.37vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08-0.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+0.40vs Predicted
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8SUNY Maritime College3.25-0.26vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-2.46vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.50-3.13vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech1.79+1.94vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.69-5.66vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.37-1.82vs Predicted
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14Stevens Institute of Technology1.76-0.89vs Predicted
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15Christopher Newport University2.21-3.43vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.52-2.26vs Predicted
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17Queen's University1.85-4.19vs Predicted
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18Virginia Tech1.79-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.71Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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6.89George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.65Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.96Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.37University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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5.19Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.4U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.74SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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6.87Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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12.94Virginia Tech1.790.0%1st Place
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6.34St. Mary's College of Maryland3.690.1%1st Place
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11.18Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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13.11Stevens Institute of Technology1.760.0%1st Place
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11.57Christopher Newport University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.74Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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12.81Queen's University1.850.0%1st Place
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12.94Virginia Tech1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Segerblom | 13.1% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.1% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zachary Hill | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Adam | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Roleke | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 0.0% |
| Austin Powers | 1.7% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 9.9% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 26.5% | 0.0% |
| Matti Muru | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 0.0% |
| Bryan Bay | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 19.6% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.