Race 13A

america-maisa-conference

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Campbell D'Eliscu 8.8% 11.1% 8.6% 9.2% 9.3% 8.2% 9.5% 6.6% 6.9% 5.2% 5.4% 4.8% 4.0% 1.7% 0.5% 0.2%
Will Holz 10.3% 9.5% 9.5% 10.6% 8.5% 6.7% 8.2% 6.7% 6.3% 8.3% 5.4% 3.6% 3.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.3%
Greiner Hobbs 17.2% 13.2% 13.2% 12.2% 10.0% 9.4% 7.2% 7.5% 3.9% 1.9% 1.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%
Zachary Hill 5.9% 7.8% 7.9% 7.6% 7.0% 6.6% 7.8% 8.6% 7.9% 7.3% 6.5% 7.1% 5.6% 3.5% 1.9% 1.0%
Brendan Shanahan 8.7% 8.9% 8.6% 9.5% 8.5% 8.4% 9.2% 6.7% 6.9% 7.3% 6.7% 3.4% 4.0% 1.7% 1.3% 0.2%
Patrick Snow 9.8% 10.4% 11.6% 9.1% 10.3% 10.1% 7.1% 6.0% 7.2% 5.3% 4.5% 3.3% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Matthew Roleke 1.3% 2.7% 1.9% 2.0% 1.9% 3.6% 2.6% 3.7% 2.5% 4.3% 5.1% 6.1% 7.7% 11.6% 18.8% 24.2%
Connor Kelter 3.6% 3.7% 3.7% 5.4% 4.7% 5.1% 4.5% 6.2% 8.0% 6.9% 6.6% 9.8% 9.5% 9.8% 7.9% 4.6%
James Jacob 4.0% 3.5% 3.3% 5.2% 3.7% 5.9% 4.8% 5.2% 7.3% 8.2% 8.7% 8.4% 9.7% 9.0% 7.8% 5.3%
Nicholas Floyd 4.3% 5.3% 4.7% 3.6% 5.4% 5.3% 5.9% 7.4% 8.3% 8.8% 8.8% 9.8% 7.7% 6.6% 5.4% 2.7%
Maximilian Kuester 7.0% 5.9% 6.3% 5.9% 6.4% 6.3% 7.0% 7.4% 6.6% 8.7% 7.4% 7.2% 7.2% 5.7% 3.6% 1.4%
Matti Muru 1.7% 1.9% 1.7% 2.1% 2.9% 2.4% 3.3% 3.6% 4.4% 5.2% 5.6% 7.0% 10.0% 11.1% 15.5% 21.6%
Jonathan Lutz 4.8% 5.1% 6.8% 6.3% 7.0% 6.6% 7.3% 7.4% 8.5% 7.4% 7.7% 6.9% 6.8% 6.7% 3.5% 1.2%
Austin Powers 2.5% 2.5% 3.4% 2.2% 3.1% 4.8% 5.5% 5.1% 5.1% 5.4% 6.9% 9.5% 9.6% 13.2% 12.6% 8.6%
Charles Lomax 9.1% 6.9% 7.4% 8.1% 9.1% 8.4% 7.4% 8.7% 7.1% 6.7% 8.3% 4.5% 3.8% 2.7% 0.7% 1.1%
Alexander Smith 1.0% 1.6% 1.4% 1.0% 2.2% 2.2% 2.7% 3.2% 3.1% 3.1% 4.8% 7.2% 7.3% 13.1% 18.6% 27.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.