← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Old Dominion University2.89+6.42vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University3.41+3.65vs Predicted
-
3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21+3.42vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University2.26+5.96vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.39+0.69vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.38+3.64vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-1.16vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University3.25-1.76vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Naval Academy3.63-3.79vs Predicted
-
10Washington College2.01+0.74vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12-0.45vs Predicted
-
12SUNY Maritime College2.14-1.63vs Predicted
-
13Queen's University1.51-0.39vs Predicted
-
14Virginia Tech1.65-1.75vs Predicted
-
15Virginia Tech1.65-2.75vs Predicted
-
16Christopher Newport University1.82-4.54vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.44-7.69vs Predicted
-
18Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-4.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.42Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
5.65George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
6.42St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.96Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
-
5.69Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
9.64Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
-
5.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
6.24Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
5.21U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
10.74Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
-
10.55U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
-
10.37SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
-
12.61Queen's University1.510.0%1st Place
-
12.25Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
-
12.25Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
-
11.46Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
-
9.31University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
-
13.66Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 9.6% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 10.8% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 12.2% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 3.1% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Michael Montagnese | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.3% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.1% | 3.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 16.2% | 31.5% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.