← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1George Washington University3.41+4.62vs Predicted
-
2Old Dominion University2.89+5.51vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.76vs Predicted
-
4Hampton University2.26+5.93vs Predicted
-
5Georgetown University3.39+0.72vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University3.25+0.39vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.21-0.56vs Predicted
-
8University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.08vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.38+0.66vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.12+0.34vs Predicted
-
11Virginia Tech1.65+1.14vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Naval Academy3.63-6.91vs Predicted
-
13Christopher Newport University1.82-1.38vs Predicted
-
14Queen's University1.51-1.29vs Predicted
-
15Virginia Tech1.65-2.86vs Predicted
-
16Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.40vs Predicted
-
17Washington College2.01-6.05vs Predicted
-
18SUNY Maritime College2.14-7.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.62George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
7.51Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
5.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
-
9.93Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
-
5.72Georgetown University3.390.1%1st Place
-
6.39Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
-
6.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.210.1%1st Place
-
9.08University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
9.66Cornell University2.380.0%1st Place
-
10.34U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.120.0%1st Place
-
12.14Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
-
5.09U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
11.62Christopher Newport University1.820.0%1st Place
-
12.71Queen's University1.510.0%1st Place
-
12.14Virginia Tech1.650.0%1st Place
-
13.6Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.0%1st Place
-
10.95Washington College2.010.0%1st Place
-
10.43SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Friesecke | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 7.7% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 11.4% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| William Logue | 11.7% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Tara | 8.6% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Garrett Lawlor | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 13.7% | 14.4% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Hudson | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Montagnese | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 13.3% | 14.8% | 18.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Price | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 11.8% | 16.2% | 13.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 16.2% | 31.6% | 0.0% |
| Matthew McDermaid | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 1.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.