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📊 Prediction Accuracy
32.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+1.87vs Predicted
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2University of California at Berkeley-0.75+9.28vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38+5.94vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.34+4.79vs Predicted
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5University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+4.60vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+5.41vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17+6.04vs Predicted
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8Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22-1.34vs Predicted
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9University of California at Davis-1.22+4.54vs Predicted
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10San Diego State University-1.01+2.27vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-1.53+3.88vs Predicted
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12University of California at Berkeley-0.98+0.42vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27-4.53vs Predicted
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14University of California at San Diego-1.50+0.99vs Predicted
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15University of California at San Diego-1.25-0.77vs Predicted
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16University of California at Davis-1.48-1.19vs Predicted
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17San Diego State University-0.86-5.37vs Predicted
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18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.83-1.37vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.81-2.47vs Predicted
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20University of California at Santa Cruz-1.99-2.59vs Predicted
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21Arizona State University-1.72-4.86vs Predicted
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22University of California at Los Angeles-2.63-1.48vs Predicted
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23University of California at Davis-1.41-8.28vs Predicted
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24Arizona State University-2.21-5.60vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine-1.36-10.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of California at Santa Cruz1.4532.0%1st Place
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11.28University of California at Berkeley-0.753.3%1st Place
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8.94University of California at Santa Cruz-0.386.0%1st Place
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8.79University of California at Los Angeles-0.344.9%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.514.2%1st Place
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11.41Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.913.8%1st Place
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13.04University of California at Santa Cruz-1.172.7%1st Place
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6.66Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.228.7%1st Place
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13.54University of California at Davis-1.222.4%1st Place
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12.27San Diego State University-1.012.6%1st Place
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14.88Arizona State University-1.531.6%1st Place
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12.42University of California at Berkeley-0.982.4%1st Place
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8.47University of California at Santa Cruz-0.276.5%1st Place
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14.99University of California at San Diego-1.501.8%1st Place
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14.23University of California at San Diego-1.252.2%1st Place
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14.81University of California at Davis-1.481.4%1st Place
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11.63San Diego State University-0.863.4%1st Place
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16.63Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.831.6%1st Place
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16.53University of California at Irvine-1.811.3%1st Place
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17.41University of California at Santa Cruz-1.991.3%1st Place
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16.14Arizona State University-1.721.4%1st Place
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20.52University of California at Los Angeles-2.630.4%1st Place
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14.72University of California at Davis-1.411.8%1st Place
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18.4Arizona State University-2.210.4%1st Place
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14.81University of California at Irvine-1.362.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 32.0% | 23.4% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Brily Petersen | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rigel Mummers | 4.9% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Parker Ziegler | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tony Gao | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| julian stauffer | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% |
| Marianna Maciel | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Emilia McNabb | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Liza Churkov | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| Adem Evecek | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.4% |
| James Makler | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.6% |
| Marley Daniel | 3.4% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Paul Munsell | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Ryan Gedminas | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 10.4% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% |
| Felix Zhang | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 34.2% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 0.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 13.0% | 15.7% |
| Matthew Stank | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.