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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.72+1.22vs Predicted
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2U. S. Military Academy0.51+0.39vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.28-0.35vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo-1.70+0.86vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.47-1.36vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.05-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Drexel University0.720.3%1st Place
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2.39U. S. Military Academy0.510.3%1st Place
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2.65Ocean County College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.86University of Buffalo-1.700.0%1st Place
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3.64Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Delaware-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frederick Piasecki | 33.3% | 30.6% | 21.6% | 10.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Michael Danko | 31.6% | 24.3% | 23.8% | 14.6% | 5.3% | 0.4% |
| John Kirk | 22.2% | 24.7% | 26.7% | 19.8% | 5.7% | 0.9% |
| John Porterfield | 2.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 15.3% | 37.0% | 35.7% |
| Declan Gaylo | 9.2% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 32.0% | 19.9% | 7.7% |
| John McCabe | 1.4% | 2.6% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 29.2% | 54.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.