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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.28+1.71vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+0.17vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo-1.70+1.84vs Predicted
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4U. S. Military Academy0.51-1.60vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.47-1.37vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-2.05-0.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Ocean County College0.280.2%1st Place
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2.17Drexel University0.720.4%1st Place
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4.84University of Buffalo-1.700.0%1st Place
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2.4U. S. Military Academy0.510.3%1st Place
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3.63Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.24University of Delaware-2.050.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kirk | 21.5% | 25.0% | 24.9% | 19.2% | 7.9% | 1.5% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 35.6% | 29.4% | 20.4% | 11.4% | 2.9% | 0.3% |
| John Porterfield | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 11.5% | 38.4% | 35.6% |
| Michael Danko | 28.1% | 26.9% | 26.0% | 15.3% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Declan Gaylo | 9.6% | 12.5% | 17.6% | 33.4% | 19.6% | 7.3% |
| John McCabe | 1.6% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 28.3% | 54.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.