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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.28+1.81vs Predicted
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2Drexel University0.72+0.22vs Predicted
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3U. S. Military Academy0.51-0.54vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.24+0.59vs Predicted
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5Webb Institute-0.47-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Buffalo-1.70-0.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.81Ocean County College0.280.2%1st Place
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2.22Drexel University0.720.4%1st Place
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2.46U. S. Military Academy0.510.3%1st Place
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4.59University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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3.79Webb Institute-0.470.1%1st Place
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5.12University of Buffalo-1.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kirk | 19.5% | 26.3% | 23.3% | 18.4% | 10.0% | 2.5% |
| Frederick Piasecki | 37.0% | 25.0% | 22.1% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Michael Danko | 28.3% | 27.1% | 21.8% | 17.1% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 4.8% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 17.4% | 32.9% | 30.5% |
| Declan Gaylo | 8.2% | 12.4% | 18.9% | 25.4% | 22.5% | 12.6% |
| John Porterfield | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 25.6% | 52.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.