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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+2.96vs Predicted
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2San Diego State University0.19+6.54vs Predicted
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3California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+0.42vs Predicted
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4University of California at Berkeley0.86+2.10vs Predicted
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5California Poly Maritime Academy0.81+1.14vs Predicted
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6Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48+9.18vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49+4.18vs Predicted
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8University of California at Irvine-0.84+4.99vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29+1.17vs Predicted
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10University of California at Los Angeles0.52-2.70vs Predicted
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11Arizona State University-0.62+0.77vs Predicted
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12University of Southern California1.09-6.67vs Predicted
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13California State University Channel Islands-1.98+4.25vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-0.45vs Predicted
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15California State University Channel Islands-1.40-0.06vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-1.24-1.83vs Predicted
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17University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-0.35vs Predicted
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18University of California at Irvine-1.42-2.62vs Predicted
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19University of California at San Diego-2.05-1.52vs Predicted
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20University of California at San Diego-1.41-4.71vs Predicted
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21University of California at Davis-1.40-5.89vs Predicted
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22University of Southern California-0.48-10.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96University of Southern California1.7118.6%1st Place
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8.54San Diego State University0.193.8%1st Place
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3.42California Poly Maritime Academy1.9223.5%1st Place
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6.1University of California at Berkeley0.868.4%1st Place
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6.14California Poly Maritime Academy0.818.5%1st Place
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15.18Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.481.0%1st Place
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11.18University of California at Santa Barbara-0.492.5%1st Place
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12.99University of California at Irvine-0.841.6%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Santa Cruz-0.292.9%1st Place
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7.3University of California at Los Angeles0.526.0%1st Place
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11.77Arizona State University-0.622.4%1st Place
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5.33University of Southern California1.0910.4%1st Place
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17.25California State University Channel Islands-1.980.5%1st Place
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13.55Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.5%1st Place
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14.94California State University Channel Islands-1.401.1%1st Place
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14.17San Diego State University-1.240.9%1st Place
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16.65University of California at Los Angeles-1.731.1%1st Place
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15.38University of California at Irvine-1.420.9%1st Place
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17.48University of California at San Diego-2.050.3%1st Place
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15.29University of California at San Diego-1.410.9%1st Place
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15.11University of California at Davis-1.401.1%1st Place
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11.09University of Southern California-0.482.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 18.6% | 17.7% | 15.4% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 23.5% | 20.0% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicolai Perez | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Colin Thompson | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.0% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Brayden Money | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Lucas Elliott | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Connelly | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gavin Hirz | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Maximilian Conze | 10.4% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 20.8% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 2.6% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.3% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.7% |
| Andrew Bistras | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 13.5% | 14.8% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 13.7% | 22.1% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 6.2% |
| Blossom Jee | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.