← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Ocean County College0.23+1.51vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Military Academy1.14-0.35vs Predicted
-
3Webb Institute-1.01+0.99vs Predicted
-
4University of Delaware-0.86-0.19vs Predicted
-
5University of Buffalo-0.99-0.92vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University-1.79-1.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.51Ocean County College0.230.2%1st Place
-
1.65U. S. Military Academy1.140.6%1st Place
-
3.99Webb Institute-1.010.1%1st Place
-
3.81University of Delaware-0.860.1%1st Place
-
4.08University of Buffalo-0.990.1%1st Place
-
4.96Drexel University-1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 21.6% | 35.6% | 21.5% | 14.6% | 4.9% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 56.8% | 26.9% | 11.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Muriel Weathers | 6.7% | 9.6% | 20.1% | 22.5% | 24.1% | 17.0% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 6.9% | 12.8% | 20.4% | 24.1% | 23.7% | 12.1% |
| Austin Wyles | 5.5% | 10.9% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 24.1% | 19.6% |
| James Giebel | 2.5% | 4.2% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 22.2% | 49.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.