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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute-1.01+3.04vs Predicted
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2Ocean County College0.23+0.51vs Predicted
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3University of Buffalo-0.99+0.93vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-0.86-0.17vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-1.79+0.01vs Predicted
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6U. S. Military Academy1.14-4.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.04Webb Institute-1.010.1%1st Place
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2.51Ocean County College0.230.2%1st Place
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3.93University of Buffalo-0.990.1%1st Place
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3.83University of Delaware-0.860.1%1st Place
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5.01Drexel University-1.790.0%1st Place
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1.69U. S. Military Academy1.140.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muriel Weathers | 6.5% | 10.5% | 17.5% | 22.9% | 23.5% | 19.1% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 23.6% | 32.7% | 23.0% | 12.8% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Austin Wyles | 7.6% | 11.6% | 16.1% | 24.4% | 25.1% | 15.2% |
| Laila Van Cleve | 6.5% | 11.9% | 21.6% | 24.4% | 23.8% | 11.8% |
| James Giebel | 1.8% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 20.8% | 51.9% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 54.0% | 28.3% | 13.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.