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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
25
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of California at Santa Cruz1.45+1.82vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara-0.51+7.60vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Cruz-0.38+5.92vs Predicted
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4University of California at Los Angeles-0.34+5.06vs Predicted
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5Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.91+6.56vs Predicted
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6University of California at Berkeley-0.75+5.22vs Predicted
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7University of California at Santa Cruz-1.17+6.27vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Cruz-0.27+0.49vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.22-2.76vs Predicted
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10University of California at San Diego-1.25+4.25vs Predicted
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11University of California at Berkeley-0.98+0.94vs Predicted
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12San Diego State University-1.01+0.48vs Predicted
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13University of California at San Diego-1.50+2.04vs Predicted
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14Arizona State University-1.53+0.67vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.83+1.78vs Predicted
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16San Diego State University-0.86-4.32vs Predicted
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17University of California at Davis-1.22-3.52vs Predicted
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18Arizona State University-1.72-1.78vs Predicted
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19University of California at Irvine-1.81-2.49vs Predicted
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20University of California at Davis-1.48-5.11vs Predicted
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21University of California at Santa Cruz-1.99-3.37vs Predicted
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22Arizona State University-2.21-3.48vs Predicted
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23University of California at Los Angeles-2.63-2.81vs Predicted
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24University of California at Davis-1.41-9.13vs Predicted
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25University of California at Irvine-1.36-10.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82University of California at Santa Cruz1.4531.6%1st Place
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9.6University of California at Santa Barbara-0.514.3%1st Place
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8.92University of California at Santa Cruz-0.385.2%1st Place
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9.06University of California at Los Angeles-0.344.5%1st Place
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11.56Cal Poly University S.L.O.-0.913.8%1st Place
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11.22University of California at Berkeley-0.753.1%1st Place
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13.27University of California at Santa Cruz-1.172.5%1st Place
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8.49University of California at Santa Cruz-0.277.0%1st Place
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6.24Cal Poly University S.L.O.0.229.4%1st Place
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14.25University of California at San Diego-1.251.8%1st Place
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11.94University of California at Berkeley-0.983.6%1st Place
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12.48San Diego State University-1.012.6%1st Place
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15.04University of California at San Diego-1.501.7%1st Place
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14.67Arizona State University-1.531.6%1st Place
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16.78Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.831.5%1st Place
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11.68San Diego State University-0.862.9%1st Place
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13.48University of California at Davis-1.221.9%1st Place
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16.22Arizona State University-1.721.3%1st Place
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16.51University of California at Irvine-1.811.3%1st Place
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14.89University of California at Davis-1.482.1%1st Place
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17.63University of California at Santa Cruz-1.991.0%1st Place
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18.52Arizona State University-2.211.1%1st Place
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20.19University of California at Los Angeles-2.630.7%1st Place
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14.87University of California at Davis-1.411.9%1st Place
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14.68University of California at Irvine-1.361.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buster Baylis | 31.6% | 24.2% | 16.4% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Kestenbaum | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brily Petersen | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Rigel Mummers | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Claire Wiley | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Connor Fagan | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| McQuaid Harkin-Goodrich | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Emilia McNabb | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Parker Ziegler | 9.4% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adem Evecek | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.5% |
| Marianna Maciel | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| julian stauffer | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Liza Churkov | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Matthew Prendiville | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 2.5% |
| Paul Munsell | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% |
| Marley Daniel | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Tony Gao | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Christopher Moore | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% |
| Ryan Gedminas | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 7.1% |
| James Makler | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Dakota Rutherford | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% |
| Veja Zaprauskis | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.2% | 16.4% |
| Felix Zhang | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 32.3% |
| Juliette Cramer | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Stank | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.