← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Tufts University3.49+7.29vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.98vs Predicted
-
3Boston University3.24+6.45vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.91vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.28vs Predicted
-
6Brown University3.48+2.67vs Predicted
-
8Northeastern University2.60+3.84vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University3.71-1.50vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.21-0.23vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College3.56-2.93vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University2.63-0.19vs Predicted
-
13Boston College4.01-6.49vs Predicted
-
14Harvard University3.60-5.79vs Predicted
-
15Yale University4.08-8.62vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College3.53-7.65vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.96-6.38vs Predicted
-
18Middlebury College1.26-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.29Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
6.98University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
9.45Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
7.91U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
7.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
8.67Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
11.84Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
7.5Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
9.77Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
8.07Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
11.81Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
-
6.51Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
8.21Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
6.38Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
8.35Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
10.62University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
-
15.38Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Rolander | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 17.3% | 8.9% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 2.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 19.0% | 10.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 1.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.3% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Amina Brown | 3.1% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 4.8% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 11.4% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.