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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+6.85vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College3.21+7.48vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.56+5.20vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.24+5.48vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+1.11vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71+1.78vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+0.89vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48+0.32vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-0.48vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.49-1.63vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-3.73vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-4.57vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.01-6.43vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.60-1.97vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.96-5.52vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.63-5.20vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.26-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.48Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.48Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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6.11Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.78Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.32Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.52Dartmouth College3.530.0%1st Place
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8.37Tufts University3.490.0%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.43Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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12.03Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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10.48University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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11.8Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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15.42Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 1.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.3% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Christopher Williford | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.2% |
| John Rolander | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.6% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 19.1% | 10.4% |
| Amina Brown | 3.2% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 4.5% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.5% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 11.8% | 16.7% | 9.8% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 11.5% | 63.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.