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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+6.85vs Predicted
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2Boston University3.24+7.34vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+3.26vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+2.52vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.53+3.14vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+4.73vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71+0.60vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College3.21+1.34vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-1.74vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.75vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.48-2.30vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.15vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.63-1.14vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-5.34vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.60-3.13vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.26-1.57vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.56-9.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.85Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.34Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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6.26Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.52Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.73University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.34Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.26University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.25Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.7Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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11.86Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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8.66Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.87Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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15.43Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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8.34Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 1.4% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Amina Brown | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 5.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 2.4% |
| Rachel Bryer | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.1% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 1.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 12.2% | 17.7% | 9.1% |
| John Rolander | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 11.4% | 17.5% | 11.3% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 12.0% | 62.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.