← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University3.71+6.44vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.63+9.58vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.49+5.45vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island3.84+3.22vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University3.60+2.89vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.01vs Predicted
-
7Boston University3.24+2.44vs Predicted
-
8Boston College4.01-1.66vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College3.56-0.60vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.48-1.65vs Predicted
-
11University of Vermont2.96-0.40vs Predicted
-
12Yale University4.08-5.69vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University2.60-1.06vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College3.21-4.25vs Predicted
-
15Dartmouth College3.53-6.66vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College1.26-1.56vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-10.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.44Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
11.58Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
-
8.45Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
7.22University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
7.89Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
9.44Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
-
6.34Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
8.4Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
8.35Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
10.6University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
-
6.31Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
11.94Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
9.75Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
8.34Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
15.44Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
-
7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martim Anderson | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 13.5% | 16.2% | 8.3% |
| John Rolander | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.1% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 2.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.0% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.2% |
| Amina Brown | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 4.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 17.6% | 10.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 12.2% | 62.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.