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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Rhode Island3.84+4.94vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+3.09vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.48+4.55vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+2.47vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.63+5.58vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.24+2.66vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56+0.25vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.60-1.05vs Predicted
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10Boston College4.01-3.43vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-1.60vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.60-0.04vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.49-4.55vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-5.99vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University3.71-7.26vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.53-7.69vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.96-6.34vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.26-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.94University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.09Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.55Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.58Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.66Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.25Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.95Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.57Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.4Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.96Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.45Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.74Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.31Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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15.4Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 1.9% | 2.0% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 16.5% | 9.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 10.5% | 20.4% | 10.6% |
| John Rolander | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Amina Brown | 3.0% | 1.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 11.6% | 9.8% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 11.3% | 62.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.