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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.53+7.12vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.60+9.77vs Predicted
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3Yale University4.08+3.21vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+2.51vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49+3.29vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+1.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48+0.55vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+0.21vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College3.56-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.84-4.00vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.60-3.76vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.21-3.43vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University3.71-6.25vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.96-4.33vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.63-4.23vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-9.55vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College1.26-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.12Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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11.77Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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6.21Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.51Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.29Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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8.55Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.21Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.4Bowdoin College3.560.0%1st Place
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7.0University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.24Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.57Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.75Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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10.67University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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11.77Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.45Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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15.42Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Williford | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 0.7% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 18.5% | 9.3% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| John Rolander | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.5% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 7.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Amina Brown | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 3.9% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 12.9% | 17.7% | 9.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 64.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.