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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.87vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.01+4.37vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+4.60vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+4.20vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+2.60vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08+0.44vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.60+1.06vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+0.21vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.61-1.86vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60+0.77vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.21-2.29vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-5.67vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.49-5.45vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.48-6.41vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.63-4.34vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College1.26-1.60vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont2.70-6.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.87University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.37Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.6Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.2Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.44Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.06Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.21Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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11.77Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.71Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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7.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.59Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.66Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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15.4Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.2% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 1.8% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 16.9% | 8.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 2.3% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.7% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 9.5% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 62.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 1.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 9.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.