← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University4.08+5.03vs Predicted
-
2Boston University3.24+7.34vs Predicted
-
3Boston College4.01+3.43vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65+3.92vs Predicted
-
5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.93vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.71+1.71vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.61+0.99vs Predicted
-
8Salve Regina University2.63+3.46vs Predicted
-
9Bowdoin College3.56-0.62vs Predicted
-
10Connecticut College3.21-0.63vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University2.60+0.93vs Predicted
-
12Harvard University3.60-3.94vs Predicted
-
14Brown University3.48-5.39vs Predicted
-
15Tufts University3.49-6.43vs Predicted
-
16Middlebury College1.26-0.74vs Predicted
-
17University of Vermont2.70-5.45vs Predicted
-
18Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-10.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.03Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
9.34Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
-
6.43Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
7.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
-
6.93University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
-
7.71Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
7.99Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
-
11.46Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
-
8.38Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
9.37Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
-
11.93Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
-
8.06Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
8.61Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
-
8.57Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
-
15.26Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
-
11.55University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
7.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 11.7% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Ravi Parent | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 1.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.3% | 11.7% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 15.5% | 9.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.5% | 18.5% | 10.8% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| John Rolander | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 61.6% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 7.6% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.