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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.01vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+5.88vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+4.58vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+4.07vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.49+3.16vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01+0.54vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.70+3.12vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.24+0.56vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.60+1.66vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College3.21-1.37vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.63-0.44vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-5.86vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.48-5.50vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.56-7.95vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-9.20vs Predicted
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18Middlebury College0.24-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.01Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.88Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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8.07Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.16Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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6.54Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.12University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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9.56Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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11.66Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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9.63Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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11.56Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.5Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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8.05Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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16.43Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 12.2% | 10.3% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| John Rolander | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 17.6% | 3.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 6.7% | 1.0% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 18.0% | 4.9% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 1.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 19.5% | 4.3% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 0.2% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 7.5% | 82.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.