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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.24+8.10vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+4.10vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+5.45vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.71+3.61vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+1.27vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.61+2.09vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.21+2.45vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College3.56-0.04vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.63+2.74vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-2.77vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.60+0.76vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.49-3.65vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.84-5.77vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.60-5.91vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.70-3.71vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-8.17vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.24-0.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.1Boston University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.1Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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8.45Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.61Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.27Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.09Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.45Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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7.96Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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11.74Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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11.76Northeastern University2.600.0%1st Place
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8.35Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.09Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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11.29University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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16.46Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ravi Parent | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 0.7% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.7% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 0.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.9% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 1.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.1% |
| Sam Shannon | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 18.5% | 3.9% |
| Ty Ingram | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Jackson Hamilton | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 14.4% | 22.3% | 4.2% |
| John Rolander | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 0.5% |
| Rachel Bryer | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 17.5% | 3.3% |
| Nikole Barnes | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 6.2% | 84.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.