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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
22
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Southern California1.71+2.94vs Predicted
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2California Poly Maritime Academy1.92+1.34vs Predicted
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3San Diego State University0.19+5.48vs Predicted
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4University of Southern California1.09+1.39vs Predicted
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5University of California at Berkeley0.86+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Southern California-0.48+5.26vs Predicted
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7California Poly Maritime Academy0.81-0.77vs Predicted
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8University of California at Los Angeles0.52-0.96vs Predicted
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9University of California at Santa Cruz-0.29+1.05vs Predicted
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10Arizona State University-0.62+1.90vs Predicted
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11University of California at Irvine-0.84+1.85vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara-0.49-0.78vs Predicted
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13San Diego State University-1.24+1.42vs Predicted
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14Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.00-0.46vs Predicted
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15University of California at Davis-1.40-0.22vs Predicted
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16University of California at San Diego-1.41-0.73vs Predicted
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17California State University Channel Islands-1.40-2.03vs Predicted
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18California State University Channel Islands-1.98-0.76vs Predicted
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19Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.48-3.39vs Predicted
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20University of California at Los Angeles-1.73-3.29vs Predicted
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21University of California at Irvine-1.42-5.72vs Predicted
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22University of California at San Diego-2.05-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.94University of Southern California1.7118.4%1st Place
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3.34California Poly Maritime Academy1.9224.3%1st Place
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8.48San Diego State University0.194.2%1st Place
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5.39University of Southern California1.0910.9%1st Place
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5.96University of California at Berkeley0.869.3%1st Place
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11.26University of Southern California-0.482.1%1st Place
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6.23California Poly Maritime Academy0.818.6%1st Place
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7.04University of California at Los Angeles0.525.8%1st Place
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10.05University of California at Santa Cruz-0.293.3%1st Place
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11.9Arizona State University-0.621.8%1st Place
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12.85University of California at Irvine-0.841.8%1st Place
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11.22University of California at Santa Barbara-0.491.8%1st Place
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14.42San Diego State University-1.240.7%1st Place
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13.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.001.5%1st Place
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14.78University of California at Davis-1.400.8%1st Place
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15.27University of California at San Diego-1.411.1%1st Place
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14.97California State University Channel Islands-1.400.7%1st Place
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17.24California State University Channel Islands-1.980.5%1st Place
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15.61Cal Poly University S.L.O.-1.480.8%1st Place
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16.71University of California at Los Angeles-1.730.4%1st Place
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15.28University of California at Irvine-1.420.8%1st Place
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17.51University of California at San Diego-2.050.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hudson Mayfield | 18.4% | 18.2% | 14.7% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Mueller | 24.3% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 12.5% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Gormely | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Conze | 10.9% | 11.7% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carsten Zieger | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Bergan | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nicolai Perez | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Connelly | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Elliott | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Gavin Hirz | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Brayden Money | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Jonah Eckerman | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Ryan Giorgianni | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% |
| Sienna Stromberg | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.2% |
| Blossom Jee | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.3% |
| Cassie Halaszynski | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.0% |
| Seraphee de Labaca | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.1% |
| Kurt Richards | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 13.3% | 20.2% |
| Colin Thompson | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.6% |
| Andrew Bistras | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 13.0% | 14.9% |
| Gennis Marie Pilapil | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Maria Gunness | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 14.1% | 22.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.