Race 11A

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Nikole Barnes 6.1% 8.4% 8.7% 7.0% 7.1% 7.9% 6.2% 6.6% 8.5% 6.1% 5.6% 6.6% 5.6% 5.7% 3.4% 0.5%
Rachel Bryer 9.0% 9.4% 7.9% 9.0% 7.9% 6.8% 8.0% 7.4% 6.7% 6.5% 5.4% 6.0% 4.2% 3.2% 2.2% 0.4%
Nick Sertl 6.9% 6.0% 6.7% 7.1% 7.2% 7.0% 6.8% 7.3% 7.4% 7.5% 8.5% 6.4% 5.2% 5.2% 3.9% 0.9%
Ian Barrows 9.6% 11.3% 10.3% 9.6% 7.6% 9.3% 7.8% 6.9% 5.4% 6.0% 6.1% 4.1% 2.9% 1.8% 1.1% 0.2%
Patrick Shanahan 5.3% 6.1% 6.3% 6.6% 6.0% 7.0% 8.3% 6.1% 7.4% 6.2% 7.2% 6.3% 8.1% 6.7% 5.8% 0.6%
Hugh MacGillivray 4.4% 3.4% 4.6% 5.7% 6.9% 5.2% 6.0% 6.7% 6.5% 5.7% 8.7% 5.9% 7.6% 10.0% 9.2% 3.5%
John Rolander 5.9% 6.6% 7.0% 4.5% 6.3% 6.7% 6.7% 6.4% 7.3% 6.8% 7.1% 8.4% 7.4% 7.3% 4.0% 1.6%
Matthew Kaplan 6.5% 8.1% 6.4% 7.5% 6.4% 5.4% 7.7% 7.1% 6.1% 8.2% 7.6% 6.5% 5.5% 5.7% 4.6% 0.7%
Ty Ingram 8.0% 7.7% 8.0% 7.6% 7.7% 9.5% 6.8% 8.8% 6.5% 5.9% 5.3% 6.1% 4.1% 4.0% 3.1% 0.9%
Ravi Parent 5.1% 4.7% 4.6% 4.1% 5.4% 5.4% 5.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.4% 8.2% 10.2% 7.4% 8.0% 2.4%
Martim Anderson 8.8% 6.8% 7.7% 7.3% 7.0% 6.9% 7.1% 7.0% 7.2% 8.1% 6.6% 6.1% 6.0% 4.1% 2.6% 0.7%
Charles Lalumiere 7.6% 5.6% 6.3% 8.4% 7.9% 7.1% 6.4% 5.9% 7.5% 5.5% 7.2% 6.4% 7.2% 5.6% 4.5% 0.9%
Erika Reineke 10.5% 10.2% 9.8% 7.9% 9.4% 8.0% 8.4% 7.9% 6.3% 5.5% 3.6% 5.3% 4.3% 1.8% 0.9% 0.2%
Sam Shannon 3.2% 1.8% 2.8% 3.1% 3.2% 3.8% 3.9% 4.9% 4.4% 6.5% 4.8% 7.3% 8.7% 13.1% 18.0% 10.5%
Alexander Baskin 0.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.1% 0.8% 1.4% 1.2% 2.0% 2.9% 2.9% 5.6% 11.1% 66.3%
Jan Kite-Powell 2.2% 2.7% 2.4% 3.8% 3.3% 3.4% 3.7% 4.0% 4.4% 6.5% 5.9% 7.5% 10.1% 12.8% 17.6% 9.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.