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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.84+5.74vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.56+5.82vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.61+4.69vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+3.92vs Predicted
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5Boston College4.01+1.31vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.49+2.26vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.23vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-0.81vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.240.00vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-2.28vs Predicted
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11Yale University4.08-4.93vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.63-0.85vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.70-2.04vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.21-4.96vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.48-6.71vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College1.26-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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7.82Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.69Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.92Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.31Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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8.26Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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7.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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9.0Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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6.07Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.15Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.96University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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9.04Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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8.29Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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14.61Middlebury College1.260.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rachel Bryer | 8.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% |
| Nick Sertl | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 1.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| John Rolander | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 2.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 2.8% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.7% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 10.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 10.1% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Alexander Baskin | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 13.8% | 64.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.