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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.48+6.87vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.49+5.88vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont2.96+6.91vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.61+2.75vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.08-0.03vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.71+0.32vs Predicted
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8Boston College4.01-1.75vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.84-2.45vs Predicted
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10Boston University3.24-1.17vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-3.50vs Predicted
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12Harvard University3.60-4.39vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77-5.93vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.92-4.02vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College3.21-6.10vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.63-4.86vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College0.24-1.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.88Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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7.75Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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5.97Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.25Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.55University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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8.83Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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7.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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7.61Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.07Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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9.98Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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8.9Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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11.14Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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15.48Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 3.7% | 0.2% |
| John Rolander | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Amina Brown | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 2.1% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 5.7% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 11.3% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 1.0% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Ty Ingram | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| William Hawk | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 13.9% | 2.2% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 1.3% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.1% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 24.2% | 4.8% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 5.8% | 86.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.