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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+5.83vs Predicted
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2Yale University4.08+3.89vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.60+4.60vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.21+5.15vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.84+1.79vs Predicted
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6Boston College4.01+0.23vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.96+3.01vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.92+1.93vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.48-1.10vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.71-2.75vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.61-3.41vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.65-4.53vs Predicted
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13Middlebury College0.24+2.46vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.63-3.13vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.24-5.99vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.49-7.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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5.89Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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7.6Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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9.15Connecticut College3.210.0%1st Place
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6.79University of Rhode Island3.840.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.01University of Vermont2.960.0%1st Place
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9.93Bowdoin College2.920.0%1st Place
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7.9Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.25Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.59Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.650.1%1st Place
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15.46Middlebury College0.240.0%1st Place
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10.87Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.01Boston University3.240.0%1st Place
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8.04Tufts University3.490.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ty Ingram | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 1.1% |
| Rachel Bryer | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Erika Reineke | 8.3% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Amina Brown | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 12.5% | 13.9% | 2.9% |
| William Hawk | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 14.2% | 2.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 0.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Nikole Barnes | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Jade Forsberg | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 6.5% | 85.1% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 19.5% | 4.2% |
| Ravi Parent | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 0.9% |
| John Rolander | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.