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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.42+6.43vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.18+6.50vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.38+4.76vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University3.77+2.44vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.90+4.44vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.01vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.47+0.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.52vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.73-2.34vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-1.65vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.38-2.98vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.72-5.46vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.81-2.86vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College1.08+1.06vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.39-0.68vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.09-7.01vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University2.16-4.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.43Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.76Dartmouth College3.380.1%1st Place
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6.44Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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6.66Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.35Harvard University3.200.0%1st Place
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8.02Brown University3.380.1%1st Place
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6.54Yale University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.14Connecticut College2.810.0%1st Place
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15.06Middlebury College1.080.0%1st Place
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14.32Salve Regina University1.390.0%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island3.090.0%1st Place
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12.38Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Polster | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Jack McGuire | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Robert Floyd | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Crary | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% |
| Trevor Long | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Charles Sinks | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 4.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Megan Grapengeter-Rudnick | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Kiss | 9.2% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carter Pemberton | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 2.8% |
| Ben Arquit | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 9.2% | 20.1% | 48.6% |
| Jennifer Killian | 0.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 11.4% | 26.2% | 31.9% |
| Dakota Northrup | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Peter Christensen | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.